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Theories emerge in early stages of investigation into Surfside condo collapse

Structural engineers are honing in on the lowest part of the building for reasons why Champlain Towers South collapsed last week in Surfside, Florida, killing at least 16. 

The big picture: While experts doubt that failures with the pool deck slab alone could have caused the fall of the building, "it may be one of the factors that contributed to the collapse," Jason Borden, a Fort Lauderdale-based structural engineer, told The Washington Post.


  • A 2018 report found "major structural damage" in the building's pool deck area, caused by a concrete slab under the deck not sloped to drain properly, per the report's author.

Between the lines: Some experts say a failure at the base of the building may have triggered a "structural avalanche," per the New York Times.

  • Video footage shows the center of the building maintaining its integrity as the rest of the building begins to fall.
  • Most experts interviewed by WashPost said that the collapse appeared to involve a failure at the lowest levels of the building or in the building's parking garage.

Among the theories cited by engineers:

  • “[T]hat part of the pool [area] came down first and then dragged the middle of the building with it, and that made that collapse," Allyn Kilsheimer told The Post.
  • “You can see the failure came from the bottom,” said veteran structural engineer and the chairman of the California seismic safety commission Kit Miyamoto.
  • "Vertically imploding," suggesting that columns at the bottom were "compromised," per The Post.
  • "A foundation-related matter — potentially corrosion or other damage at a lower level,” is suggested by video footage, Donald Dusenberry told The Times.
  • "You certainly can’t rule out a design or construction error that has survived for 40 years," Dusenberry added.
  • "Punching shear failure," when slabs of concrete that make up a building's floors detach from the structure's vertical support columns, per The Post.
  • "Axial failure," which would mean columns suffered excessive stress from compression.

The bottom line: At present, “there is no smoking gun,”Troy Morgan, an adjunct professor of engineering at New York University, told The Post.

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Construction of religious facilities has fallen sharply over the past two decades

Data: U.S. Census Bureau, FRED; Chart: Axios Visuals

Construction spending in the U.S. has risen steadily since the financial crisis, and as of June sat at a near-record annualized rate of $1.55 trillion. Delving into the data, the dollars spent in most categories of construction grew along with the overall economic expansion.

The intrigue: One segment bucks the trend most noticeably. Construction of religious facilities has fallen sharply over the past two decades.

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Venture capitalists invested a record $288 billion in the first half of 2021

Venture capitalists invested $288 billion in the first half of 2021, an all-time record, per Crunchbase.

By the numbers: Venture capitalists invested $140 billion into U.S.-based startups in the first half of 2021, anall-time record, per Ernst & Young. At that pace, the 2020 total should be surpassed in a matter of days.

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