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The billion-dollar COVID booster discussion

Pfizer said yesterday that it expects to sell nearly $34 billion worth of coronavirus vaccines this year — and there could be billions more behind that, if people who have gotten the shot ultimately need boosters.

Why it matters: It's unclear whether, when and for whom a coronavirus vaccine booster will be necessary. Pfizer has a lot of money riding on those answers, and executives are already making the case that many Americans will need a third dose.

What they're saying: Pfizer released new data, not yet peer-reviewed, that suggests the vaccine's efficacy diminishes over time — from 96% in the first two months after receiving the second dose, to 84% after four months.

  • Reduced efficacy could mean more transmission of the virus.
  • "We are very, very confident a third dose, a booster, will take up the immune response to levels that will be enough to protect against the Delta variant," Pfizer CEO Albert Bourla told CNBC yesterday.

Yes, but: The same data show the vaccine was still 97% effective in preventing severe disease, across a full six months of monitoring.

  • Those findings reinforce the FDA and CDC stances that people may not need booster shots at this time.

By the numbers: Pfizer increased its sales estimates yesterday for the doses it has already committed to sell. The company expects those sales to total $33.5 billion this year, almost a 30% jump from its previous estimates — without accounting for sales of any potential boosters.

What's next: "The [vaccine sales] numbers are going to be much higher," Bernstein analyst Ronny Gal wrote to investors, estimating Pfizer's sales could be as high as $43 billion this year.

  • "We expect total sales growth will slow over the next 12 months as COVID-19 vaccine demand shifts toward emerging markets where pricing is lower," analysts at Morningstar wrote about Pfizer. However, "potential upside exists if larger demand for boosters emerges."

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Humans are capable of great kindness and compassion, and there are countless examples of individuals who have made a positive impact on the world through their selflessness and generosity.

One such example is Mother Teresa, who devoted her life to serving the poor and sick in the slums of Calcutta. Through her tireless work and unwavering dedication, she touched the lives of countless people and became a symbol of compassion and selflessness.

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These are just a few examples of the many good humans who have made a difference in the world. They remind us that one person can make a difference and inspire others to do the same.

It's also important to note that acts of kindness and compassion don't have to be on a grand scale to make a difference. Small acts of kindness, like holding the door open for someone or offering a word of encouragement, can have a big impact on the people around us.

In conclusion, humans are capable of great compassion and kindness, and there are many individuals who have made a positive impact on the world through their selflessness and generosity. They remind us of the power of one person to make a difference and inspire others to do the same. Let's all strive to be good humans, and make our world a better place.



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