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Aug. 31, 2021 09:00AM EST
Axios-Ipsos poll: Vaccine hesitancy may be crumbling
Data: Axios/Ipsos Poll; Chart: Kavya Beheraj/Axios
Vaccine hesitancy in the U.S. is showing signs of crumbling, according to the latest installment of the Axios/Ipsos Coronavirus Index.
- Fewer adults than ever now say they won't take the shot, and in the past two weeks there has been a sharp increase in the share of parents who plan to get their younger kids vaccinated as soon as it's allowed.
The big picture: Many factors are playing a role — including the Delta variant's strength, kids' return to school and FDA approval of the first COVID-19 vaccine — but the biggest drivers appear to be the rise of mandates.
- One in three unvaccinated Americans in the survey said FDA approval would make them likely to take the vaccine. But 43% said their boss requiring vaccinations would make them likely to do so, up from 33% a month ago.
What they're saying: "Schools, organizations, companies, governments implementing mandates are forcing people to deal with them," said Cliff Young, president of Ipsos U.S. Public Affairs. "That's what going on."
Why it matters: Ipsos pollster and senior vice president Chris Jackson notes that children younger than 12 — about 48 million people — now make up the largest group of unvaccinated people in the country.
By the numbers: 68% of parents said they either have already vaccinated their children or are likely to as soon as it's permitted for their age group. That's the highest share ever in our survey, and a 12-point spike from 56% just two weeks ago.
- 72% of adults now say they've already taken the vaccine. Another 8% say they're likely to take it.
- The 20% who say they're either not very likely (6%) or not at all likely (14%) comprise a new low in the survey, and down from a combined 34% in March and 23% two weeks ago.
Between the lines: Over the past two weeks, the survey found an across-the-board rise in indicators related to work or government mandates.
- 19% said their employers are requiring all workers to get vaccinated, up from 16% two weeks ago.
- 54% said employers are requiring all workers to wear masks in the workplace, up from 51%.
- 22% said their employers had extended or returned to a work from home policy, up from 17%.
- 40% also reported their state or local governments were requiring masks to be worn in public places, up from 33% two weeks ago; and another 40% said teachers or government workers in their area were being requiring to get the vaccine, up from 34%.
People are adjusting their own behaviors as well: 56% saw friends or relatives outside the home in the last week, the lowest share since April. Half of respondents said they are practicing social distancing, the highest share since early May — though only 12% said they're canceling travel plans.
- 60% say returning to their normal, pre-coronavirus lives right now would pose a large or moderate risk — up from 53% just two weeks ago.
The intrigue: The share of Americans who say they feel hopeful right now has plummeted to 34%, from 48% in March — but those saying they feel motivated, energized, inspired or resilient has risen by at least as much.
- That suggests that, rather than giving up, these Americans are reassessing their expectations about how quick a fix the first generation of vaccines alone can be— and resolving to do what it takes over the long haul.
Methodology: This Axios/Ipsos Poll was conducted Aug. 27-30 by Ipsos' KnowledgePanel®. This poll is based on a nationally representative probability sample of 1,071 general population adults age 18 or older.
- The margin of sampling error is ±3.2 percentage points at the 95% confidence level, for results based on the entire sample of adults.
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Aug. 26, 2021 05:29AM EST
Lawmakers urge Biden and FEMA to declare drought disaster in West
California Rep. Jared Huffman and fellow Democratic Rep. Joe Neguse from Colorado are urging President Joe Biden to declare a drought disaster in the West.
Driving the news: The lawmakers wrote to Biden Wednesday, calling on his administration to support Western governors' Federal Emergency Management Agency drought disaster declaration request issued earlier this month, as they experience water cuts amid rapidly depleting supplies.
Drought conditions across Colorado have reached historic levels.
— Rep. Joe Neguse (@RepJoeNeguse) August 25, 2021
I’m leading my colleagues in urging the federal government to declare a drought disaster declaration and ensure robust federal resources to make the west more resilient to drought. pic.twitter.com/kuo16JEw87
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Aug. 19, 2021 03:28PM EST
U.S. Capitol Police conducting "active bomb threat investigation" near Library of Congress
U.S. Capitol Police on Thursday said they were conducting an "active bomb threat investigation" after reports of a "suspicious vehicle" near the Library of Congress.
The latest: The Library of Congress and several Capitol offices buildings in the area have been evacuated, AP reported. The FBI and the Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, Firearms and Explosives were also responding to the scene.
- Police were working to determine whether a device in the vehicle was an operable explosive and whether a man in the vehicle was holding a detonator, law enforcement officials speaking to AP on the condition of anoyminity said.
- Congress is out on recess this week.
U.S. Capitol Police take up positions at 1st and Constitution Avenue NE as an active bomb threat unfolds near the Library of Congress. Photo: Bill Clark/CQ-Roll Call, Inc via Getty Images
This is a developing story. Please check back for updates.
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Aug. 19, 2021 09:30AM EST
Scoop: Manchin and Sinema advising House centrists pushing for bipartisan infrastructure deal
Sens. Joe Manchin (D-W. Va.) and Kyrsten Sinema (D-Ariz.) are privately advising the nine House centrist lawmakers trying to force Speaker Nancy Pelosi to hold a quick vote on a bipartisan infrastructure deal, lawmakers and aides tell Axios.
Why it matters: The two moderates who've stirred the biggest frustrations and held the most sway in their party over the infrastructure negotiations are helping allies in the House to stake out — and defend — their centrist position.
- They're offering encouragement and advice on how to negotiate with the White House and congressional leadership.
- Their behind-the-scenes support also indicates the degree to which Manchin and Sinema have prioritized getting the $1.2 trillion bipartisan infrastructure deal to final passage and in front of Biden for his signature.
The big picture: The conversations are bolstering House centrists' resolve. Since publicly demanding last Friday that Pelosi first bring the infrastructure bill to the floor before considering a larger package through a $3.5 trillion budget plan, the nine lawmakers have been subject to a combination of private scorn and public pressure.
- Pelosi referred to their tactics as “amateur hour” in a leadership call earlier this week, Politico reports.
- On Tuesday, the White House released a statement endorsing Pelosi’s approach, expressing “hope that every Democratic member supports this effort to advance these important legislative actions.” Pelosi quoted from that statement in a “Dear Colleague” letter she sent to reiterate her position.
- Brian Deese, director of the National Economic Council, and Louisa Terrell, the head of legislative affairs, Shuwanza Goff, the House liaison, as well as Energy Secretary Jennifer Granholm, have been contacting lawmakers, urging them to vote for the rule.
- So far, the nine lawmakers are withstanding pressure and remain committed to their strategy.
Between the lines: Both Manchin and Sinema have longstanding relationships with some of the centrist lawmakers including members of the "Problem Solvers" who worked together on COVID-19 relief bills in 2020.
Go deeper: The nonpartisan group "No Labels" is launching a six-figure ad by on national cable to give some air cover to the nine lawmakers.
- "This unbreakable nine is showing America that we can still do amazing things," says the ad's narrator.
What we're hearing: One possible way out of the standoff is for Pelosi to promise the centrists a vote on the infrastructure deal by the end of September.
- That could give them assurances their infrastructure bill would receive a vote without having to wait for the Senate to decide on specifics of the $3.5 trillion bill that are far from complete.
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