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Lindsey Graham: Trump could make the GOP "stronger" or "destroy" it
Sen. Lindsey Graham told "Axios on HBO" that Donald Trump has a "dark side" but he tries to "harness the magic" because he succeeded where Republican candidates like John McCain and Mitt Romney failed.
Why it matters: The South Carolina Republican gyrates between support and criticism of the former president, even after Trump harshly criticized McCain — Graham's longtime friend — and helped spark the Capitol insurrection.
- "What I'm tryin' to do is just harness the magic," Graham told Axios' Jonathan Swan. "To me, Donald Trump is sort of a cross between Jesse Helms, Ronald Reagan and P.T. Barnum."
- "He could make the Republican Party something that nobody else I know can make it. He can make it bigger. He can make it stronger. He can make it more diverse. And he also could destroy it," Graham said.
The big picture: Graham won reelection in November in one of the most expensive political races in American history. That helps explain his embrace of Trump, wildly popular with the Republican base, but also confounds those who wonder why he sticks with him.
- In 2016, when they were competing for the GOP presidential nomination, Graham questioned Trump's mental fitness.
- After Trump beat Hillary Rodham Clinton, Graham embraced the new president, despite him criticizing his former sidekick McCain for becoming a prisoner of war in Vietnam.
- The day after the Capitol siege, Graham blamed Trump for fueling the attack and declared, "enough is enough."
- Now, Graham says he is reengaging purposefully.
What they're saying: "Donald Trump was my friend before the riot. And I'm trying to keep a relationship with him after the riot. I still consider him a friend. What happened was a dark day in American history, and we're going to move forward."
- "I want us to continue the policies that I think will make America strong. I believe the best way for the Republican Party to do that is with Trump, not without Trump."
- "Mitt Romney didn't do it. John McCain didn't do it. There's something about Trump. There's a dark side and there's some magic there."
Flashback: When Swan noted Trump is not showing remorse for his election challenge and still arguing he won in a landslide, Graham invoked McCain.
- "I tell (Trump) every day that he wants to listen that I think the main reason he probably lost in Arizona is beatin' on the dead guy called John McCain," the senator said.
Crypto gets captured
Bitcoin is becoming part of the dollar-based financial system it once sought to displace.
Why it matters: Cryptocurrency is beloved by people who want to transact outside the reach of any government. But it's gotten mainstream enough that politicians and regulators want to co-opt it and bring it squarely within their own fields of influence — even using it to help pay for an infrastructure bill.
The big picture: As crypto assets have grown to be worth well over $1 trillion, investors and financiers have increasingly wanted to get involved in the space — without taking any kind of legal risk.
- They've been aggressively pushing for regulatory clarity, and often see their expensive compliance departments as a comparative advantage, differentiating them from the early true believers.
- Regulation, however, would defeat much of the original purpose behind the desire to create cryptocurrency in the first place — the dream of being able to create a store of value that's untouched by government interference.
Context: When bitcoin first arrived on the scene, there was a chance governments would crush it, prosecuting anyone who used it.
- Bitcoiners dreamed instead that it would thrive under the benign neglect of the government. While egregious fraud might be prosecuted, they mostly just wanted to be left alone.
- They got their way, in some form or another, for many years. But those days are coming to an end, and we're now clearly at the beginning of the end of cryptocurrency as an anarcho-libertarian Utopia.
- Cryptocurrency's future may be as an integral part of the existing financial system, regulated just as much as any other financial product.
Driving the news: SEC chair Gary Gensler — who previously taught a course on cryptocurrencies at MIT — gave an important speech last week laying out a maximalist vision for the degree to which his agency can and should regulate the asset class.
- Crypto giant Circle has announced its intention to become a bank, fully regulated by the Federal Reserve, the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency, and the FDIC.
- FTX, the fastest-growing crypto exchange, last valued at $18 billion, wants to become a regulated stock exchange where stocks can be traded on the blockchain.
- Ethereum, the upstart rival to bitcoin, is in the process of moving to "Ethereum 2.0," a more centralized system that transfers power to the largest holders of the currency, including its founder, Vitalik Buterin.
How it works: A more regulated system would help solve problems like the difficulty of buying a home using the proceeds of crypto sales, or customers of NBA TopShot being unable to transfer their money to banks including JPMorgan and Wells Fargo.
The bottom line: The majority of crypto activity continues to take place outside the U.S., often in unregulated (and very risky) venues. But when the U.S. wants to regulate global financial activity, it generally finds it very easy to do so.
What to watch at the Olympics today: Gymnastics, golf, 3x3 basketball, swimming
5 events to watch today...
- 🤸♀️ Men’s gymnastics: Team USA’s Sam Mikulak and Brody Malone compete in the individual all-around final. Coverage starts at 6:15 a.m. on Peacock (watch the replay at 8 p.m. ET on NBC)
- 🏀 3x3 Basketball: The women’s gold medal game between the U.S. and Russia starts at 8:55 a.m. ET on USA Network. Russia and Latvia will play in the men’s final at 9:25 a.m. ET.
- 🏌️ Men’s golf: Round one tees off at 6:30 p.m. ET on the Golf Channel or stream on nbcolympics.com.
- 🏊 Swimming: Men’s 800m freestyle, 200m breaststroke and 100m freestyle finals and women’s 200m butterfly final. Coverage starts at 9:30 p.m. on NBC.
3 things that happened this morning or yesterday...
- 🤸 Simone Biles withdraws from Olympic all-around gymnastics final
- 🏊 Katie Ledecky wins gold in first women's 1500m freestyle
- 🇫🇯 Fiji beat New Zealand to win its second consecutive gold medal in men's rugby sevens
Go deeper: Full Axios coverage
Disruptions from the pandemic will take a long time to unwind
American consumers and businesses face any array of shocking shortages in 2021 — the result of corporate miscalculations in the early days of the pandemic. The shortages range from labor to lumber to rental cars.
Why it matters: As vaccinations rise and the economy grows back to its pre-pandemic size, Americans are tantalized by the prospect of the country reverting to something approaching the familiar old normal. While that might happen eventually, it could take a surprisingly long time for a new equilibrium to establish itself.
- Until then, expect a constant stream of headlines about supply being unable to meet demand across a large range of industries and sectors.
The big picture: Shortages have appeared in multiple areas.
- In lumber, high prices are a consequence of the decision by sawmills to shut down production a year ago, in anticipation of an economic slump.
- In auto, high prices reflect decisions by chip manufacturers early in the pandemic to concentrate on making semiconductors for consumer electronics — which were expected to boom — at the expense of making chips for vehicles, which were expected to be hit hard by the broader slump in travel.
- In the restaurant industry, which is struggling to find workers, experienced servers found themselves with almost a year to find other jobs with better job security and fewer health risks.
- In expensive cities like New York, many simply left town. Hiring was generally not easy even before the pandemic, and it's much more competitive now that so many restaurants are trying to staff up aggressively at exactly the same time.
Be smart: These shortages don't mean the economy is overheating. If anything, they mean it isn't yet hot enough. As industries like sawmills, semiconductor fabricators and restaurants grow out of their recession slump, supply will increasingly meet demand and prices will more likely to go down than up.
- In an advanced economy, supply chains and lead times can be extremely long and complex, even for seemingly simple items like lumber. Disruptions to global shipping — an industry that has never been nimble — only make it harder to get back to normal.
- Rebuilding those supply chains for a reconfigured economy, and finding the new natural state of dynamic equilibrium, is extremely difficult and time-consuming.
- Pockets of sticker shock on things like rental car prices are therefore likely to remain for at least the rest of this year.
The bottom line: If price rises in a certain items are caused by temporary shortages, then the inflation is also likely to be temporary.