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What bank's booming profits say about the economy
Some of America's biggest banks are making more money now than they were before the pandemic hit.
Why it matters: Quarterly earnings out this week hint that the worst economic scenarios haven't yet come to pass. Still, executives are warning there could be a rocky road ahead for the economy.
- These banks are the biggest lenders in the country and have insight into the financial health of millions of Americans and businesses. So analysts often parse these quarterly results for indicators of how the economy is doing.
What they're saying: "The consumer is in reasonably good shape for whatever we may face next," Jennifer Piepszak, JPMorgan's chief financial officer, said during a call with Wall Street analysts this week.
- "Having said that, there is a significant amount of uncertainty about what we may face next."
By the numbers: JPMorgan reported $9.4 billion in profits — 4% more than it made this time last year.
- Goldman Sachs, which has way less exposure on the lending front, made $3.6 billion, nearly double what it made in the same quarter a year ago.
- And while Wells Fargo and Citigroup saw a drop-off, they're both still profitable. Citi made $3.2 billion, while Wells Fargo raked in $1.7 billion.
What's going on: Banks were buoyed by strength in the Wall Street-facing divisions: including the parts of the company that, for instance, are focused on trading or help take companies public.
- Also helping results: There haven't been widespread loan defaults, despite millions of Americans being out of work and scores of businesses operating at reduced capacity.
- JPMorgan, for example, reported $1.2 billion in net charge-offs — or loans it doesn't expect payment on — which is less than it reported this time last year.
The state of play: Last quarter, the biggest banks set aside a whopping $24 billion to cover potential bad loans. This quarter banks added to those reserves, though at a slower pace — a sign that executives are still preparing for defaults down the line.
- Bank of America released some of the money set it previously set aside for consumer loan losses, noting an improving economy.
- The bank's CEO, Brian Moynihan, said on Wednesday Bank of America is seeing a return to "a generally sound underlying economy ... [b]ut we won’t get there until we have fully addressed the health care crisis and its associated effects."
Between the lines: The banks would have raked in even more money, were they not dealing with the aftermath of a slew of scandals.
- Wells Fargo took a nearly $1 billion hit inexpenses related to the fallout of its fake account scandal.
- Citi had higher expenses thanks to a fine from a regulator in response to management failures.
- JPMorgan also took a charge to help cover a $920 million fine for rigging commodity markets between 2008 and 2016.
The bottom line: Executives largely attribute the strength to stimulus measures — and they're calling for another package to help shore up consumers.
- Another stimulus package "will create more buffer to take us through hopefully the other side of the tunnel, without too much pain and destruction to bank balance sheets," with loan defaults, Mark Doctoroff, a bank analyst at MUFG, tells Axios.
SurveyMonkey poll: Trump improves, but not enough
President Trump's final debate performance exceeded Americans' expectations, but it wasn't enough to shift the dynamics that left him trailing Joe Biden across most measures, according to a new Axios-SurveyMonkey poll.
What they're saying: "Liar" was the word used most by debate watchers to describe Trump's performance, followed by "lies," "strong," "presidential" and "childish." "Presidential" was the word used most to describe Biden's performance, followed by "liar," "weak," "expected" and "honest."
- "Informative" and "Trump" led the descriptions of the debate itself, followed by "Biden," "civil" and "boring."
The big picture: Biden's favorable-unfavorable rating among U.S. adults is at 46-45% after the debate, while President Trump's is 10 percentage points underwater, at 42%-52%, with a week and a half remaining in the race.
- Among independents, Biden's favorable ratings have climbed into positive territory, jumping 18 percentage points to +4 since the first debate on Sept. 29. Trump climbed seven percentage points with independents, but that still leaves him at -27.
By the numbers: 44% of debate watchers — and 73% of Republicans — said Trump did better than they expected. Only 11% overall said he did worse than they expected.
- But Biden was more trusted than Trump on five of seven issues covered in the debate: the coronavirus (48%-36%), the environment (50%-31%), issues of special concern to women (48%-30%), ethics in government (47%-36%) and issues of special concern to Black Americans (44%-37%).
- Foreign policy (44%-43%) and crime/safety (41%-43%) were essentially a draw between Biden and Trump.
The intrigue: Is the mute button here to stay?
- 64% of debate watchers, including a slim majority of Republicans, said allowing the muting of candidates' microphones made the debate better.
Methodology: This SurveyMonkey online poll was conducted October 22-23, 2020 among a national sample of 2,742 U.S. adults, including 2,322 who watched the debate or followed coverage of it.
- Respondents for this survey were selected from the more than 2 million people who take surveys on the SurveyMonkey platform each day.
- The modeled error estimate for this survey is +/- 3.0 percentage points. Data have been weighted for age, race, sex, education, and geography using the Census Bureau’s American Community Survey to reflect the demographic composition of the United States age 18 and over.
Live: Apple debuts MacBook Air, Mac Mini with homegrown processor
Apple on Tuesday debuted the first Macs with homegrown chips, introducing updated versions of the MacBook Air and Mac mini that use its new M1 processor.
Why it matters: The move away from Intel processors could reduce costs for Apple and give the company more flexibility in design, but also adds short-term uncertainty as well as extra work for developers.
New MacBook Air
The first Mac with Apple chips is a MacBook Air, which resembles past models, but is powered by Apple's M1 processor rather than an Intel chip.
- Apple says the battery on the new MacBook Air can power 15 hours of Web browsing, 18 hours of video playback and last twice as long when doing video conferencing.
- Apple also removed the fan used in previous models.
- It still starts at $999 ($899 for education customers)
Mac mini
Apple put its newest chip in its smallest desktop computer, the Mac mini. (While not widely rumored, the move wasn't a huge shock since Apple used a modified Mac mini to offer developers a machine to test how their apps would run on Apple silicon.)
- The Mac mini will start at $699 — $100 less than the prior Intel-powered model.
The M1 processor
Apple's M1 processor has 16 billion transistors and an 8-core CPU (4 high-performance and 4 high-efficiency) as well as 8 graphics cores. Apple says the high-efficiency cores alone can deliver the same performance as current MacBook Airs at a quarter of the power consumption.
Between the lines: One of the key things to watch is how quickly developers optimize their apps for the new chips. Apple says all its apps have been updated for the new chips, as well as key programs from others.
- Adobe's Lightroom is coming next month while Photoshop will arrive next year.
For those that aren't optimized, Apple has a translation engine, dubbed Rosetta 2. Most apps for the iPad and iPhone should also now run on the Mac.
Go deeper: Why Apple's shift to homegrown chips matters
This event is still taking place. Check back for frequent updates.
How Biden is selling his infrastructure plan to Democrats
White House senior adviser Anita Dunn is making the case that Democrats can't lose by rallying around President Biden's infrastructure plan because its individual components poll even higher than the $1.9 trillion COVID stimulus passed last month.
Driving the news: "Key components of President Biden’s American Jobs Plan are overwhelmingly popular — among a bipartisan and broad coalition," Dunn wrote in a memo to "interested parties" obtained by Axios around Biden's rollout of the first of two infrastructure spending packages.
Why it matters: With a price tag of between $2.2 trillion and $2.7 trillion depending on how it's calculated, it already has come under fire from Republican lawmakers and faces resistance from some moderate Democrats.
- But Dunn's memo suggests that, rather than worry, Democrats can lean into the popularity of the individual components of the plan to pressure House and Senate Republicans to come around — and bash them to voters if they don't.
By the numbers: Dunn cites public polling showing between 74% and 87% support among Americans for seven elements: new job training for coal miners, highway and bridge work, increasing affordable childcare, expanding broadband access, expanding family and medical leave, upgrading public transportation, and investing in clean energy.
- The individual elements garner higher bipartisan support than when Americans are simply asked if they support a new infrastructure bill.



