Show an ad over header. AMP

Axios-SurveyMonkey poll: The Biden-Harris bounce

Last week's convention boosted the Biden-Harris ticket with Democrats and some independents — while the four-day, largely virtual show also intensified Republican opposition, a new Axios-SurveyMonkey poll shows.

The big picture: "Hopeful," 'inclusive" and "united" were the top three words Democrats used to describe this year's Democratic National Convention. Republicans said: "Boring," "lies" and "joke."


Democrats

Source: SurveyMonkey

Republicans

Source: SurveyMonkey

Where it stands: Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden and his running mate Kamala Harris each got five-point bumps with Democrats coming out of the convention, compared with our survey a week earlier. (Biden's favorability is now at 85% among Democrats, and Harris' is at 77%.)

  • Biden's net favorability with independents is still shaky, at -6 percentage points — but that's an improvement from -20 before the convention.
  • Harris became a more familiar figure to American households over the course of the convention, but that didn't move her ratings with independents.
  • Republicans' negative views of both intensified, with Biden coming out of the convention with a 89% unfavorable GOP rating and Harris with 82% unfavorable.

By the numbers: 55% of Democrats now say their party is united (+5 percentage points from a week earlier.)

  • The biggest shift came among self-described “moderate” Democrats, 63% of whom now say the party is united (+9).
  • Seven in 10 Democrats who tuned into the convention saw the party as unified.
  • "Very liberal" Democrats remain the least convinced the party can unify, with 31% predicting they'll still be divided in November.

What they're saying: "In early returns, the Democrats got what they were after," said SurveyMonkey chief research officer Jon Cohen.

More than half of Democrats (52%) said they have a more favorable view of the Democratic Party after the convention, while 42% said their view didn't change. Only 5% had a less favorable view.

  • Two-thirds of Republicans said they had a less favorable view.
  • Two-thirds of independents said their view was unchanged, while it was a net negative (-9 percentage points) among independents who changed their views.

The intrigue: The coronavirus forced convention organizers to adopt more virtual events, and this survey gives us some early measure of how that played.

  • 48% Democrats say they watched all or part of the convention this year, while another 34% kept up with the coverage.
  • 44% of both groups combined preferred the virtual formal to the typical in-person conventions, while 12% preferred the traditional format; 42% thought they were about the same.

Methodology: This SurveyMonkey online poll was conducted August 20-21, 2020 among a national sample of 2,946 adults in the U.S. Respondents for this survey were selected from the more than 2 million people who take surveys on the SurveyMonkey platform each day.

  • The modeled error estimate for this survey is +/- 3.0 percentage points. Data have been weighted for age, race, sex, education, and geography using the Census Bureau’s American Community Survey to reflect the demographic composition of the United States age 18 and over.

Pinpointing climate change's role in extreme weather

Climate scientists are increasingly able to use computer models to determine how climate change makes some extreme weather more likely.

Why it matters: Climate change's effects are arguably felt most directly through extreme events. Being able to directly attribute the role climate plays in natural catastrophes can help us better prepare for disasters to come, while driving home the need to tackle greenhouse gas emissions.

Keep reading... Show less

Big Tech takes the climate change lead

The tech industry is playing a growing role in fighting climate change, from zero-carbon commitments to investments in startups and pushing for the use of data to encourage energy efficiency.

Why it matters: Big Tech is already dominating our economy, politics and culture. Its leadership in helping to address climate change — and reckon with its role in contributing to it — could have similarly transformative impacts.

Keep reading... Show less

Lindsey Graham says he will vote for Ginsburg's replacement before next election

Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-S.C.) on Saturday said he plans to support a vote on President Trump's nominee to fill the vacancy left by Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg, who died on Friday, before the election.

Why it matters: Graham in 2016 opposed confirming President Obama's Supreme Court nominee, Merrick Garland, because it was an election year.

Keep reading... Show less

Schumer: "Nothing is off the table next year" if Senate GOP moves to fill Ginsburg's seat

Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer told fellow Democrats on a conference call Saturday that "nothing is off the table next year" if Senate Republicans move to fill Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg's Supreme Court seat in the coming weeks.

What he's saying: “Let me be clear: if Leader McConnell and Senate Republicans move forward with this, then nothing is off the table for next year," Schumer said, according to a source on the call. "Nothing is off the table.”

ActBlue collects record-breaking $30 million in hours after Ginsburg's death

ActBlue, the Democratic donation-processing site, reported a record-breaking $30 million raised from 9 p.m. Friday to 9 a.m. Saturday in the aftermath of Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg's death, NPR writes and ActBlue confirmed to Axios.

Why it matters via the New York Times: "The unprecedented outpouring shows the power of a looming Supreme Court confirmation fight to motivate Democratic donors."

Keep reading... Show less

Trump says Republicans have an "obligation" to fill Ginsburg's seat "without delay"

President Trump wrote in a tweet Saturday morning that Republicans have an "obligation" to fill Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg's seat on the Supreme Court following her death Friday.

What he's saying: "We were put in this position of power and importance to make decisions for the people who so proudly elected us, the most important of which has long been considered to be the selection of United States Supreme Court Justices," the president said. "We have this obligation, without delay!"

Hundreds gather to pay tribute to Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg along Supreme Court steps

At the Supreme Court steps Friday night hundreds of people gathered to pay tribute to Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg — singing in a candlelight vigil, with some in tears.

Details: If there is a singular mood at the Supreme Court tonight, it’s some kind of a daze manifested by silence. 

Keep reading... Show less

Insights

mail-copy

Get Goodhumans in your inbox

Most Read

More Stories