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In funeral remarks, Biden recalls how the late GOP Sen. John Warner "forged consensus"
"In the battle for the soul of America today, John Warner is a reminder of what we can do when we come together as one nation," President Biden said in remarks Wednesday at the funeral of former GOP Sen. John Warner, who endorsed Biden during the 2020 election.
The big picture: Biden has long been an advocate of bipartisanship and forging consensus in the U.S. Senate, which has been at the center of debate in recent weeks due to the Republican filibusters of a Jan. 6 commission and a sweeping voting rights bill spearheaded by Democrats.
- Biden is still pushing to strike bipartisan deals with Republican senators on infrastructure spending and police reform.
- Suggesting that "senators in Congress will understand this," Biden said that Warner's endorsement in June 2020 "gave me confidence not about winning, but about being able to do the job."
Background: Warner was Richard Nixon's Navy secretary and went on to serve with Biden in the Senate for three decades, before retiring in 2009. He died of a heart ailment at his home in Alexandria on May 25 at age 94.
What they're saying: "[Warner] understood that democracy is more than a form of government. Democracy is a way of being," Biden said. "He understood it begins and grows in an open heart and with a willingness to work across the aisle and come together in common cause."
- "And that empathy, empathy, is the fuel of democracy. The willingness to see each other as opponents, not as enemies. Above all, to see each other as fellow Americans even when we disagree," the president added.
- "That is how John forged consensus and made sure our system worked and delivered for the people."
Income inequality is primarily automation-driven, economists argue
Automation technology has been the primary driver in U.S. income inequality over the past 40 years, according to a new paper by two prominent economists in the field.
Why it matters: Offshoring, the decline of unions, and corporate concentration have all played a part in widening the gap between lower-skilled and higher-skilled workers, but automation is the single most significant factor, and will likely grow even more important in the years ahead.
By the numbers: The real wages of low-education workers have declined significantly over the past four decades, with the real earnings of men who lack a high-school degree now 15% lower than they were in 1980.
- Over the same time, real wages for workers with a post-graduate degree — and to a much lesser extent, those with a bachelor's degree — rose sharply.
The big picture: In their paper, MIT's Daron Acemoglu and Boston University's Pascual Restrepo calculate that 50 to 70% of the changes in the U.S. wage structure since 1980 can be accounted for by relative wage declines among workers who specialize in routine tasks in industries hit by rapid automation.
- Workers who perform tasks that can be increasingly automated — think manufacturing work done by robots or clerical work performed by software — lose out on labor share.
- They're then forced to compete with other lower-skilled workers for fewer remaining jobs, further bidding down wages.
- Higher-skilled workers have largely escaped this trap not so much because of a rising demand for those skills, but because they perform tasks that can't be — or haven't yet been — automated.
What's next: More of the same, barring major political changes.
- While automation has always caused job displacement in the past, it has also increased productivity and generated entirely new classes of jobs.
- But productivity has stagnated in recent decades, and despite the hype of many tech companies, automation and AI are increasingly focused on replacing human labor rather than augmenting it.
- The pandemic accelerated the adoption of automation, and newer forms of AI are set to increasingly automate higher-skilled tasks.
The bottom line: As Acemoglu wrote in a recent essay, "The only path out of our current predicament requires both robust regulation and a fundamental transformation in societal norms and priorities."
Retailers don't know whether the pandemic comfy era is ending
There are early signs that "sweatpants nation"is shrinking as Americans emerge from lockdown, but it's unclear how far back to normal the pendulum will swing.
Why it matters: Retailers don't know whether the pandemic comfy era has forever changed what we want to wear. Billions of dollars worth of retail inventory is on the line.
How it works: What's on the racks in the summer and the fall months is planned months in advance.
- There's always some uncertainty — but this year is beyond the norms, Sarah Wyeth a retail analyst at S&P Global Ratings, tells Axios.
- "Is it going to be more athleisure? Is it going to be dressy? Is it going to be business formal, business casual?"
One sign of a shift already in motion: Urban Outfitters said at the end of February seven out of 10 of its top selling items were dresses for its Anthropologie brand.
- "Up until that point over the past year, we were lucky if [top selling items] included one or two dresses ... We're beginning to see what I'm calling go-out fashion start to take hold," CEO Richard Hayne said in early March.
Flashback: Last year, fashion seasons were essentially traded for the "pandemic season." Retailers reined in other inventory at the onset of the pandemic and raced to meet the demand for comfort.
- A similar pivot could happen if they suss out a bigger "dress up" thirst, though fast-fashion retailers will be more nimble here than others.
How it's playing out: Retailers have been "extraordinarily cautious" with buying loads of inventory in light of the uncertainty, Jan Kniffen, a retail consultant to investment firms, tells Axios.
- "What that means is the consumer is going to go out to buy stuff that ain't there sometimes," Kniffen says.
- And there might be fewer deals, since the retailer won't have to use discounts to sell-through excess inventory.
Factors at play: The pace of vaccinations and the economic reopening. Both will lead people to do and socialize more — and potentially buy more clothes for the occasion.
- Plus: The sustained economic recovery (which has been uneven) propelling people to shop.
What's next: Winners of "the comfy era" are trying to keep their stronghold.
- "When [customers] shift back to more casual wear, they are going to be looking unique and different ... and some of the team is creating and building that," Lululemon's CEO Calvin McDonald told Wall Street last week.
The bottom line: "I think we're going to see a real trend toward Great Gatsby-ism," Kniffen says.
- "It will be a more casual dress up than 10 or 15 years ago — but it's still gonna be a hell of a lot dressier than it was for the last year."



