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Joe Biden is outperforming Hillary Clinton across early every demographic group

The Cook Political Report's Amy Walter shows, in a piece that's well worth your time, that President Trump is trailing "not because he's losing his 2016 base, but because he has never expanded beyond it."

The state of play: Trump has roughly held his share of the vote across all segments of the electorate, but Joe Biden is performing significantly better than Hillary Clinton with nearly every demographic group.


  • Walter dug into the most recent national poll from Pew Research Center (ending Aug. 2) and compared it with Pew's post-election poll from 2016, which uses official voting records.
  • The article has a nifty tool you can play around with to compare Biden's performance against Trump across key demographic groups to Clinton's performance against Trump in 2016.
  • Walter's analysis shows that Biden performs better than Clinton among older voters, younger voters, white voters, college and non-college educated voters, men, women, Democrats, Republicans and independents. Clinton, meanwhile, was slightly stronger with Black and Hispanic voters.

Between the lines: Many of these new votes are coming from people who voted third party in 2016.

  • According to Pew, voters who didn't support either major-party candidate in 2016 are breaking decidedly for Biden — 55% to 39%.
  • 'This group of non-Trump/non-Clinton voters doesn't get the attention of Obama-Trump voters or suburban moms, but they are a not-insignificant portion of the electorate," Walter writes.

What Trump can do: Cook's David Wasserman earlier this year found "a huge number of non-voting, non-college whites in the Upper Midwest."

  • "In other words, there's a large pool of potential voters for Trump to mine in key swing states."

Biden raises $141 million more than Trump

Joe Biden's campaign, the Democratic National Committee and joint fundraising committees raised $466 million cash on hand, the presidential candidate's team announced late Sunday.

Why it matters: President Trump's campaign raised $325 million, his campaign communications director Tim Murtaugh announced earlier Sunday.

Editor's note: This is a developing news story. Please check back for updates.

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The big picture: The investigation, published on Sunday, examines more than 2,100 suspicious activity reports (SARs) filed by banks and other financial firms with the U.S. Department of Treasury’s Financial Crimes Enforcement Network, known as FinCEN.

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