You can size up these attacks by:
- number of victims, which might be individuals or companies and organizations of varying sizes;
- estimated economic cost in lost data, lost network time and other disruptions;
- or amount of ransom paid.
To gauge how "big" an attack is, Randy Watkins, CTO at Critical Start, recommends looking at "multiple cross-sections between ransom amount, number of infected machines, number of infected organizations and the criticality of the organizations affected."
Yes, but: These numbers change as new information comes to light. Sometimes the public and even the affected companies never get a complete picture.
How it worked: Kaseya sells remote management tools to service providers who use it to manage companies' systems.
- The attackers, who have been widely identified as the Russia-connected REvil group, infected Kaseya's tools, which in turn transmitted malicious code to downstream companies, locking them out of their data and systems.
- On Tuesday, Kaseya said it believes the attack "directly compromised" "fewer than 60" of its service provider customers, and "fewer than 1500" companies who were those service providers' customers — ranging from small businesses to a Swedish supermarket chain with hundreds of stores.
REvil started by asking for a reported $45,000 in Bitcoin from each affected company. Then they demanded a lump-sum $70 million to provide one key that would free all the affected firms' systems. Then they lowered that demand to $50 million.
- The switch to a wholesale approach, some analysts suggested, showed that the attackers couldn't handle managing the sheer volume of individual cases.
What they're saying: "Ransom size, victim number, victim size, brand damage are increasing exponentially," said Danny Clayton, vice president of global services at BitDefender.
- "Most ransomware attacks go unreported," he said, "so to help understand the magnitude of a cyber-event, look at the organizations taking notice" — in this case, President Biden, the FBI and the Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency.
The big picture: Kaseya is the latest in a flood of ransomware attacks that have plagued U.S. companies in recent weeks.
Flashback: In 2017, the Wannacry ransomware attack, widely attributed to North Korea-based hackers, infected hundreds of thousands of computers running Microsoft Windows.
One link connecting nearly all these incidents is Russia.
- As in the case of the non-ransomware Solarwinds breaches, Russia disclaims any responsibility for the current ransomware epidemic, but U.S. experts and leaders see the Kremlin's fingerprints in most of these exploits.
- The Kaseya attack has raised new calls for the Biden administration to get tough with Russia.