Show an ad over header. AMP

I am the FIRST

Axios-Ipsos poll: The Biden-Trump trust gulf

Data: Axios/Ipsos poll; Note: ±3.3% margin of error for the total sample; Chart: Andrew Witherspoon/Axios

President Trump wins significantly less trust than Joe Biden on who provides accurate information about the coronavirus — but neither one is trusted by even half the country, in the latest installment of the Axios-Ipsos Coronavirus Index.

Why it matters: Week 22 of our national survey exposes new depths of the virus' politicization as the two major political parties hold their nominating conventions — and it shows the challenges of governing that lie ahead for whoever wins in November.


Details: Just 31% of Americans saying they trust Trump on the pandemic, compared with 46% who say they trust Biden.

  • Neither can claim a majority, but Biden is in a stronger position. Three in 10 members of the president's own party don't trust him on the issue.
  • Just 7% of Democrats trust Trump — and only 12% of Republicans trust Biden — to provide accurate information about the coronavirus.
  • Independents trust Biden significantly more than they trust Trump — but more than a third of independents say they don't trust either one.
  • Nearly seven in 10 Americans say they either don't trust Trump at all or don't trust him very much, with most falling into the "at all" category.
  • About one-third of Americans don't trust Biden much or at all, though the intensity of distrust is less than toward Trump.

Between the lines: These findings come as 38% of the registered voters in the survey say they've already requested an absentee ballot for the presidential election (24%) or that their state will automatically mail them one (14%).

  • Party ID is a driving factor with these registered voters: 29% percent of independents and 28% of Democrats — but only 15% of registered Republicans — said they've requested an absentee ballot.

What they're saying: "It's really about the negative, not the positive," said Cliff Young, president of Ipsos U.S. Public Affairs. "Trump's negatives are so much higher."

  • "It's 'a pox on both your houses,' but, definitely, Trump goes into this cycle with a significant deficit," Young said, adding that a surge in cases and deaths in red states had hurt the president's standing within in his own party.
  • "Trump's not credible talking about COVID. It's very hard to spin a virus. At the end of the day, people know people that are sick, people know people that have died, and that's real."

The big picture: This week's survey finds new milestones for the virus' proximity to all Americans. As campaign season kicks into high gear, modified schooling is returning for millions of children, and public health officials are bracing for a flu season to interact with COVID-19.

By the numbers: 58% of respondents now say they know someone who’s tested positive, and 22% know someone who died from the virus. One in four say they've been tested themselves.

  • Meanwhile, half of the parents in this week's survey say their children already have resumed schooling in one form or another — 30% virtually, 14% in person and 6% in a hybrid format.
  • This comes amid indications of some drift back to offices: 30% of employed respondents say they're still working remotely, down from 37% — and one-third of those working remotely say their offices have reopened, but they're choosing not to go in.

What we're watching: A majority of Americans (62%) say they're somewhat or very likely to get the flu shot this fall or winter, while just under half (48%) say they'd take a first-generation COVID-19 vaccine as soon as it's available.

Methodology: This Axios/Ipsos Poll was conducted August 21-24 by Ipsos’ KnowledgePanel®. This poll is based on a nationally representative probability sample of 1,084 general population adults age 18 or older.

  • The margin of sampling error is +/- 3.3 percentage points at the 95% confidence level.

Why the startup world needs to ditch "unicorns" for "dragons"

When Aileen Lee originally coined the term "unicorn" in late 2013, she was describing the 39 "U.S.-based software companies started since 2003 and valued at over $1 billion by public or private market investors."

Flashback: It got redefined in early 2015 by yours truly and Erin Griffith, in a cover story for Fortune, as any privately-held startup valued at $1 billion or more. At the time, we counted 80 of them.

Keep reading... Show less

Scoop: Facebook's new moves to lower News Feed's political volume

Facebook plans to announce that it will de-emphasize political posts and current events content in the News Feed based on negative user feedback, Axios has learned. It also plans to expand tests to limit the amount of political content that people see in their News Feeds to more countries outside of the U.S.

Why it matters: The changes could reduce traffic to some news publishers, particularly companies that post a lot of political content.

Keep reading... Show less

Scoop: Amazon quietly getting into live audio business

Amazon is investing heavily in a new live audio feature that's similar to other live audio offerings like Clubhouse, Twitter Spaces and Spotify's new live audio platform, sources tell Axios.

Why it matters: As with Amazon's efforts in podcasting and music subscriptions, the company sees live audio as a way to bolster the types of content it can offer through its voice assistant, Alexa, and its smart speaker products.

Keep reading... Show less

Hurricane Ida exposes America's precarious energy infrastructure

The powerful hurricane that plunged New Orleans into darkness for what could be weeks is the latest sign that U.S. power systems are not ready for a warmer, more volatile world.

The big picture: “Our current infrastructure is not adequate when it comes to these kinds of weather extremes,” Joshua Rhodes, a University of Texas energy expert, tells Axios.

Keep reading... Show less

"We must go further": 70% of adults in European Union are fully vaccinated

About 70% of adults in the European Union are fully vaccinated against COVID-19, Ursula von der Leyen, the president of the European Commission, said Tuesday.

Why it matters: The milestone makes the E.U. one of the world's leaders in inoculations, after an initially lagging vaccine campaign, the New York Times notes.

Keep reading... Show less

What Elizabeth Holmes jurors will be asked ahead of fraud trial

Jury selection begins today in USA v. Elizabeth Holmes, with the actual jury trial to get underway on Sept. 8.

Why it matters: Theranos was the biggest fraud in Silicon Valley history, putting both hundreds of millions of dollars and thousands of patients' health at risk.

Keep reading... Show less

Insights

mail-copy

Get Goodhumans in your inbox

Most Read

More Stories