22 October 2020
Reproduced from a Brookings Institution report; Chart: Axios Visuals
A just-published Brookings Institution analysis of U.S. cities' pledges to cut carbon emissions reveals very mixed results.
Why it matters: The potential — and limits — of city and state initiatives have gotten more attention amid President Trump's scuttling of Obama-era national policies.
The big picture: It finds "laudable aspirations, notable GHG reductions in some cases, and less auspicious outcomes in most other cities."
The state of play: The authors undertook the difficult task of comparing cities' emissions-cutting vows and progress toward meeting them.
- Plans have varying baseline years, targets and so forth, and the analysis also has to grapple with what might happen in the absence of the plans.
- There's also a time-lag in getting information, but that map above is close to the current state of play, Brookings analyst Mark Muro said.
Where it stands: Among the 100 most populous U.S. cities, only 45 have both emissions-cutting targets and a detailed emissions tally — or "inventory" — to gauge them against.
- Seventeen of those 45 have rolled out new or upgraded plans since Trump took office.
- These cities' pledges often align with the goal of cutting emissions by 80% by 2050.
- That's aggressive but falls short of what's needed globally to hold warming to 1.5°C above preindustrial levels, the study notes.
- Another 22 of these 100 cities have vowed emissions cuts but lack specific targets or completed inventories.
By the numbers: If the 45 cities with plans and baseline data successfully follow through, it would cut emissions by an estimated 365 million metric tons of CO2-equivalent annually by 2050.
- That's the equivalent of taking 79 million passenger vehicles off the roads, the report states.
- Viewed another way, that "translates to roughly 6% of total U.S. GHG emissions in 2017," it finds.
- That's "not insignificant," but also far from the net-zero by 2050 levels consistent with the very ambitious 1.5°C goal.
Threat level: Lots of cities are falling behind on their pledges.
- Of 32 cities that conducted new inventories since 2010, 26 have cut emissions compared to baseline levels, led by L.A.'s 47% cut below 1990 levels. Six have seen increases, led by Tucson, Arizona's growth.
- "Overall, about two-thirds of cities are currently lagging their targeted emission levels." On average, cities analyzed would need to cut emissions by 64% by 2050 to meet their goals.
What's next: The report offers ways to bolster and expand city initiatives.Two examples: More philanthropic help for small and midsized cities; and more big-city efforts to decarbonize power generated outside their borders by working with surrounding communities, regional governments and other stakeholders.
Transcripts show George Floyd told police "I can't breathe" over 20 times
Section2Newly released transcripts of bodycam footage from the Minneapolis Police Department show that George Floyd told officers he could not breathe more than 20 times in the moments leading up to his death.
Why it matters: Floyd's killing sparked a national wave of Black Lives Matter protests and an ongoing reckoning over systemic racism in the United States. The transcripts "offer one the most thorough and dramatic accounts" before Floyd's death, The New York Times writes.
The state of play: The transcripts were released as former officer Thomas Lane seeks to have the charges that he aided in Floyd's death thrown out in court, per the Times. He is one of four officers who have been charged.
- The filings also include a 60-page transcript of an interview with Lane. He said he "felt maybe that something was going on" when asked if he believed that Floyd was having a medical emergency at the time.
What the transcripts say:
- Floyd told the officers he was claustrophobic as they tried to get him into the squad car.
- The transcripts also show Floyd saying, "Momma, I love you. Tell my kids I love them. I'm dead."
- Former officer Derek Chauvin, who had his knee on Floyd's neck for over eight minutes, told Floyd, "Then stop talking, stop yelling, it takes a heck of a lot of oxygen to talk."
Read the transcripts via DocumentCloud.