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Trump pollster identifies 7 groups of GOP voters based on issues they care about

26 March 2021
 Dan Ackermann
Data: Fabrizio, Lee & Associates; Chart: Will Chase/Axios

The post-Trump Republican Party cares most about issues in seven key categories, with most prioritizing economic issues like job creation and limited government, according to a new survey conducted by former President Trump's chief 2016 and 2020 pollster.

Why it matters: The survey of 1,264 GOP voters comes as Republican lawmakers are struggling to navigate the future of the party amid a Democratic administration. It could help guide key messaging areas ahead of the 2022 midterms.

  • Survey respondents were given a list of 40 issues and asked to select the five most important to them. Republican polling firm Fabrizio, Lee & Associates then identified seven distinct “issue groups” from that data.

Details:

  1. Dollars & Cents GOP: These voters care most about a balanced federal budget, economic growth, taxes, international trade and limited government. Middle-aged men are concentrated here.
  2. Core GOP Conservatives: All GOP voters remaining who didn’t fit into the other categories. Considered "extremely conservative" and the "most committed GOPers." Care most about honesty in government.
  3. Don’t Tread on Me GOP: Heavily focused on personal and individual freedoms, such as privacy, gun rights and marijuana legalization. Top category for young men.
  4. Government-Friendly GOP: Least conservative of the seven groups, and consisting of older and more female voters. More likely to favor an involved government. Top issues include Social Security/Medicare, health care, coronavirus and education.
  5. Moralists: Top issues consist of abortion and religion-based values. The most female and conservative group.
  6. Border & Order GOP: Oldest group within the GOP. Prioritizes immigration and responds well to "law and order" messaging.
  7. Neo-Cons: Veterans are concentrated here. Favor large military and believe the U.S. should be "outward-facing on a global scale."

The backstory: This is the third time Fabrizio, Lee & Associates conducted a national study of Republican voters to determine the topology of the party; others were done in 1997 and 2007.

  • The group found the rise of Donald Trump has "somewhat diminished the importance of differences by issue," but it concluded, "There are still clear gaps on top issues that differentiate today’s GOP."

Methodology: Fabrizio, Lee & Associates conducted the nationwide survey of voters who are registered Republicans or affiliate as Republicans. The survey was conducted from Feb. 20 to March 2, 2021.

  • Respondents were randomly selected from the registered voter lists. The margin of sampling error at the 95% confidence is ±2.76%.

Transcripts show George Floyd told police "I can't breathe" over 20 times

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Newly released transcripts of bodycam footage from the Minneapolis Police Department show that George Floyd told officers he could not breathe more than 20 times in the moments leading up to his death.

Why it matters: Floyd's killing sparked a national wave of Black Lives Matter protests and an ongoing reckoning over systemic racism in the United States. The transcripts "offer one the most thorough and dramatic accounts" before Floyd's death, The New York Times writes.

The state of play: The transcripts were released as former officer Thomas Lane seeks to have the charges that he aided in Floyd's death thrown out in court, per the Times. He is one of four officers who have been charged.

  • The filings also include a 60-page transcript of an interview with Lane. He said he "felt maybe that something was going on" when asked if he believed that Floyd was having a medical emergency at the time.

What the transcripts say:

  • Floyd told the officers he was claustrophobic as they tried to get him into the squad car.
  • The transcripts also show Floyd saying, "Momma, I love you. Tell my kids I love them. I'm dead."
  • Former officer Derek Chauvin, who had his knee on Floyd's neck for over eight minutes, told Floyd, "Then stop talking, stop yelling, it takes a heck of a lot of oxygen to talk."

Read the transcripts via DocumentCloud.