12 April 2021
Over the last several years, millennials have rented to stay nimble and keep work opportunities open. Now, they're ready to buy.
Why it matters: About 4.8 million millennials are turning 30 in 2021, and many are expected to enter the home-buying game if they haven't already.
- This wave of new buyers will have the opportunity to build and pass on wealth, and shape the market for years to come.
Flashback: Leading up to the financial crisis of 2008, many people bought homes they couldn't afford, allowing developers to gobble up foreclosures, David Kennedy, president of Charlotte-based Canopy MLS, tells Axios.
- We're still feeling the impacts of that, but it allowed first-time millennial buyers to head into the market with the knowledge their first home may not be their dream home.
- They're more open to multi-family options like condos and quadraplexes, so they can start building wealth despite today's low inventory of single-family homes.
The big picture: Millennials are getting older and entering a new stage of life, casting off their long-held moniker as the "renter generation," Realtor.com senior economist George Rati says.
- The oldest millennials are turning 40 this year, and they want more space for their growing families.
- First-time buyers are also ready to build equity, have more space, and take advantage of low relatively mortgage rates.
The state of play: Homebuyers are entering a competitive market, with inventory down and home prices surging across the board. Low mortgage rates give buyers more power, but there has to be a home to buy to take advantage of current deals.
By the numbers, per a Realtor.com study:
- 43% of first-time millennial homebuyers have been looking for more than a year.
- 44% say they still need more money for a down payment and other closing costs.
- 34% say they can't find a house in their budget.
Where they're going: Millennials are leaving larger cities like New York and heading west or south. Migration patterns, according to SmartAsset, show five of the 10 most popular states among millennials have no income tax.
Data: U.S. Census Bureau migration data analysis by SmartAsset; Chart: Axios Visuals
What millennials want: Rati says the average millennial buyer wants a house with a nice backyard in a desirable, quiet location.
- A garage, updated kitchens and bathrooms, good schools, and attractions nearby are also common wishlist items.
- Millennials with money want to spend it. Grandfather Homes president Matt Ewers, who builds $1M+ custom homes, says he's noticed millennial buyers "are willing to spend it as they make it," adding amenities like $150,000 pools during the building process.
- "They're not all investment bankers either," he says. Millennials who are able to afford the bonus luxuries are involved in anything from sales to multiple side hustles.
The bottom line: "Looking ahead," Rati says, "millennials will continue to be dominant participants in housing markets."
Transcripts show George Floyd told police "I can't breathe" over 20 times
Section2Newly released transcripts of bodycam footage from the Minneapolis Police Department show that George Floyd told officers he could not breathe more than 20 times in the moments leading up to his death.
Why it matters: Floyd's killing sparked a national wave of Black Lives Matter protests and an ongoing reckoning over systemic racism in the United States. The transcripts "offer one the most thorough and dramatic accounts" before Floyd's death, The New York Times writes.
The state of play: The transcripts were released as former officer Thomas Lane seeks to have the charges that he aided in Floyd's death thrown out in court, per the Times. He is one of four officers who have been charged.
- The filings also include a 60-page transcript of an interview with Lane. He said he "felt maybe that something was going on" when asked if he believed that Floyd was having a medical emergency at the time.
What the transcripts say:
- Floyd told the officers he was claustrophobic as they tried to get him into the squad car.
- The transcripts also show Floyd saying, "Momma, I love you. Tell my kids I love them. I'm dead."
- Former officer Derek Chauvin, who had his knee on Floyd's neck for over eight minutes, told Floyd, "Then stop talking, stop yelling, it takes a heck of a lot of oxygen to talk."
Read the transcripts via DocumentCloud.