06 July 2021
Data: U.S. Department of Labor and Wells Fargo Securities; Chart: Axios Visuals
Employers are doing what they have to do to address persistent labor shortages: They’re offering more money.
Why it matters: The reopening of the U.S. economy is fueling demand for goods and services. But businesses have struggled to meet that demand because current pay rates aren’t attracting the qualified applicants that employers want.
By the numbers: The June jobs report on Friday showed average hourly earnings were up 0.3% month over month in June.
- This continued growth is notable because it comes on top of a 0.4% gain in May and a 0.7% jump in April.
- On an annualized basis, the past three months of gains represent a 5.9% pace of growth, which is substantially higher than the 2.4% average from the last economic cycle, per Wells Fargo.
What they’re saying: "Getting workers back to the job site has not come cheap," Wells Fargo senior economist Sarah House writes. "Employers have had to pony up in industries where shortages have been particularly acute."
- Lower-wage industries, like leisure, hospitality and retail, which combine to employ 30 million people, reported strong gains.
- Leisure, hospitality and retail accounted for 49% of the 850,000 jobs added in June.
Yes, but: "There is still progress to be made," Indeed Hiring Lab's Nick Bunker writes in an email. "Employment in leisure and hospitality is still 12.9% below its pre-pandemic level."
- The 15.1% pace in leisure and hospitality "reflects the mismatch between demand and supply, which should be resolved over time, leaving wage growth to cool in this sector," says BofA head of U.S. economics' Michelle Meyer. "We would therefore squarely put this in the 'transitory' camp."
All major industries are pacing above 3% — even higher-wage areas like information, financial, professional and business services.
- Morgan Stanley economist Robert Roesner notes that higher-wage industries have also struggled with record job openings and unusually high quit rates.
- "The wage data is starting to show a transition from more idiosyncratic pressures to more broadly based and potentially more persistent pressures," Roesner writes.
The bottom line: Businesses need to be able to sell stuff, but they can’t do it without workers. And as long as demand is outstripping supply, workers will continue to have leverage to ask for more money.
Transcripts show George Floyd told police "I can't breathe" over 20 times
Section2Newly released transcripts of bodycam footage from the Minneapolis Police Department show that George Floyd told officers he could not breathe more than 20 times in the moments leading up to his death.
Why it matters: Floyd's killing sparked a national wave of Black Lives Matter protests and an ongoing reckoning over systemic racism in the United States. The transcripts "offer one the most thorough and dramatic accounts" before Floyd's death, The New York Times writes.
The state of play: The transcripts were released as former officer Thomas Lane seeks to have the charges that he aided in Floyd's death thrown out in court, per the Times. He is one of four officers who have been charged.
- The filings also include a 60-page transcript of an interview with Lane. He said he "felt maybe that something was going on" when asked if he believed that Floyd was having a medical emergency at the time.
What the transcripts say:
- Floyd told the officers he was claustrophobic as they tried to get him into the squad car.
- The transcripts also show Floyd saying, "Momma, I love you. Tell my kids I love them. I'm dead."
- Former officer Derek Chauvin, who had his knee on Floyd's neck for over eight minutes, told Floyd, "Then stop talking, stop yelling, it takes a heck of a lot of oxygen to talk."
Read the transcripts via DocumentCloud.
