17 March 2021
The Federal Reserve kept its policy rate unchanged on Wednesday but sharply ramped up its expectations for economic growth — while affirming that it does not plan to raise interest rates until 2023. The central bank also curiously reworded the public statement accompanying its decision.
Why it matters: U.S. inflation expectations have shot up in recent months while unemployment remains historically high, making guidance on the Fed's next steps particularly important.
What they're saying: "The COVID-19 pandemic is causing tremendous human and economic hardship across the United States and around the world. Following a moderation in the pace of the recovery, indicators of economic activity and employment have turned up recently, although the sectors most adversely affected by the pandemic remain weak. Inflation continues to run below 2 percent."
What it means: The Fed looks to be trying to have it both ways — acknowledging the economic recovery while also insisting that interest rates need to be kept low to assist it.
- The Fed's policymaking committee also voted to continue its quantitative easing program in which the central bank buys at least $120 billion of bonds a month.
What to watch: Inflation worries have taken center stage among investors, with a recent survey from Bank of America showing that it has displaced the coronavirus pandemic as the top concern among global fund managers.
- Consumers also have shown increasing worries, with inflation expectations rising to their highest level in seven years, according to the New York Fed.
- Google searches for inflation have jumped to their highest since record-keeping began in 2008, according to data from Deutsche Bank.
The bottom line: Powell has generally brushed off concerns about inflation, saying the Fed has the tools to tamp down inflation should it materialize.
Transcripts show George Floyd told police "I can't breathe" over 20 times
Section2Newly released transcripts of bodycam footage from the Minneapolis Police Department show that George Floyd told officers he could not breathe more than 20 times in the moments leading up to his death.
Why it matters: Floyd's killing sparked a national wave of Black Lives Matter protests and an ongoing reckoning over systemic racism in the United States. The transcripts "offer one the most thorough and dramatic accounts" before Floyd's death, The New York Times writes.
The state of play: The transcripts were released as former officer Thomas Lane seeks to have the charges that he aided in Floyd's death thrown out in court, per the Times. He is one of four officers who have been charged.
- The filings also include a 60-page transcript of an interview with Lane. He said he "felt maybe that something was going on" when asked if he believed that Floyd was having a medical emergency at the time.
What the transcripts say:
- Floyd told the officers he was claustrophobic as they tried to get him into the squad car.
- The transcripts also show Floyd saying, "Momma, I love you. Tell my kids I love them. I'm dead."
- Former officer Derek Chauvin, who had his knee on Floyd's neck for over eight minutes, told Floyd, "Then stop talking, stop yelling, it takes a heck of a lot of oxygen to talk."
Read the transcripts via DocumentCloud.